Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

SS

STRATTEC SECURITY CORP (STRT)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • STRATTEC delivered a clean top-line and margin beat in Q4 FY25: revenue rose 6.3% YoY to $152.0M on pricing, demand and mix, with gross margin expanding 370 bps to 16.7%; adjusted EPS was $2.06 and adjusted EBITDA $13.0M . Versus S&P Global consensus, the quarter beat on revenue, EPS and EBITDA as detailed below (single-analyst coverage for EPS; two for revenue)*.
  • Cash generation and liquidity materially strengthened: Q4 cash from operations was $30.2M, ending cash at $84.6M; borrowings under credit facilities fell to $8.0M (JV revolver), leaving the company with ample dry powder for transformation and to buffer market softness .
  • Management highlighted near-term demand risk from North American auto production revisions (-5% to -6% in FY26) and a lull in key OEM launch cycles, but reiterated structural levers: price, volume from future launches, and operational improvements; long-term targets include 18%-20% gross margins and low-teens EBITDA margin .
  • Tariff headwinds are being mitigated: Q4 saw a $1.6M net tariff impact; management has “line of sight” to recover the majority of costs, though recoveries lag expenses; FY25 actions yielded ~$8M annualized pricing and ~$5M restructuring savings to support margins .
  • Potential catalysts: continued gross margin expansion despite macro tempering, sustained CFOA, tariff recoveries/pricing traction, and eventual capital return once predictability improves; risks center on NA build softness, Mexico labor inflation and recovery timing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • “We delivered measurably improved results with stronger margins and cash flow,” including $8M in annualized pricing, $5M cost takeout and working capital velocity gains (CEO) .
    • Gross margin expanded to 16.7% (+370 bps YoY) on FX tailwind (~$3.0M), restructuring savings ($1.3M), pricing and volume; adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.5% .
    • Q4 cash from operations was $30.2M, full-year CFOA $71.7M; cash ended at $84.6M with no borrowings on the $40M company revolver, JV revolver borrowings at $8.0M .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Despite margin expansion, GAAP net income and EPS declined YoY due to a difficult comp: prior-year Q4 SAE benefited from a $4.7M one-time engineering recovery; Q4 FY25 SAE also included higher professional fees, incentive comp and transformation investments .
    • Tariffs and higher Mexico labor costs weighed: $1.6M net tariff impact and $1.1M higher labor costs in Mexico in Q4; tariff recoveries tend to lag expenses .
    • Management cautioned FY26 revenue is “down to flattish” with industry production expected to decline 5%-6% and a lull in customer launch cycles; Mexico labor inflation is a H2 headwind .

Financial Results

Quarterly performance and trajectory

MetricQ2 FY25 (Dec 29, 2024)Q3 FY25 (Mar 30, 2025)Q4 FY25 (Jun 29, 2025)
Net Sales ($M)$129.919 $144.082 $152.013
Gross Margin %13.2% 16.0% 16.7%
Operating Income ($M)$2.134 $7.085 $8.502
Operating Margin %1.6% 4.9% 5.6%
Net Income Attrib. to STRT ($M)$1.319 $5.396 $8.267
Diluted EPS ($)$0.32 $1.32 $2.01
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$8.0 $12.9 $13.0
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.65 $1.50 $2.06

Q4 YoY comparison

MetricQ4 FY24Q4 FY25
Net Sales ($M)$143.055 $152.013
Gross Margin %13.0% 16.7%
Operating Income ($M)$9.691 $8.502
Operating Margin %6.8% 5.6%
Net Income Attrib. to STRT ($M)$9.620 $8.267
Diluted EPS ($)$2.39 $2.01
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$13.804 $12.987
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$2.42 $2.06

Q4 FY25 actual vs S&P Global consensus

MetricActualConsensusResult
Revenue ($M)$152.013 $143.508*Beat*
EPS (Primary) ($)$2.06*$1.07*Beat*
EBITDA ($M)$12.987*$9.527*Beat*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Cash flow and balance sheet trends

MetricQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25
Cash from Operations ($M)$9.444 $20.720 $30.176
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$42.625 $62.106 $84.579
Borrowings under Credit Facilities ($M)$13.000 $13.000 $8.000
Inventories, net ($M)$81.511 $75.591 $64.701

Drivers and commentary (Q4)

  • Sales growth drivers: $3.7M pricing, $4.1M demand, $1.2M net new launches, favorable mix .
  • Margin drivers: ~$3.0M FX benefit (≈210 bps), $1.3M restructuring savings; offset by $1.6M net tariffs and $1.1M higher Mexico labor; tariff recovery lags .
  • SAE: $16.9M vs $8.9M prior-year (Q4 FY24 included $4.7M one-time ED&D recovery); higher professional fees, $2.2M incentive comp, transformation costs and talent investments .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/CommentaryChange
RevenueFY26NoneDirectionally “down to flattish” vs FY25 as NA auto production projected -5% to -6% and launch lull New qualitative outlook
Gross MarginLTNoneLT target 18%–20% New
EBITDA MarginLTNoneLT target low-teens New
SAE / ES&AOngoing~11% of salesMaintaining ~11% of sales, while investing in transformation and incentive comp Maintained
TariffsFY26NoneAnnual cost increase $5–$7M before mitigation; majority recovery expected but lagging New
PricingFY25 / FY26None~$8M annualized pricing executed; tailwind especially in 1H FY26 New
Restructuring SavingsFY26 run-rateNone~$5M annualized savings from FY25 restructuring actions, full run-rate in Q1 FY26 New
Working CapitalLTTarget 15%Primary working capital currently just over 16%; target remains ~15% Maintained
InventoryFY26NoneRaise by ~$5M from Q4 level to support on-time delivery New
CapexFY25/FY26≈$7.5M FY25Around $10M normalized run-rate; invest in modernization and IT Maintained/clarified
TaxFY26+None~$10M deferred tax asset benefit as R&D expensing no longer deferred for tax; lowers cash taxes New
Capital ReturnsLTNoneConsider shareholder distributions when business predictability increases New
DividendNear termNoneNot prioritized amid uncertainty; balancing internal/external allocation Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2, Q3 FY25)Current Period (Q4 FY25)Trend
Tariffs & MitigationEstimated $9–$12M annual cost pre-mitigation; ~30% mitigated; actions on logistics, pricing, sourcing Q4 net impact $1.6M; majority recovery expected; recovery lags Improving mitigation; lag persists
Pricing Power~$8M annualized pricing captured starting Q3 $3.7M Q4 pricing contribution; 1H FY26 tailwind Sustained
Restructuring/CostMilwaukee/Mexico actions; ~$5M annual savings; partial Q3 benefit $1.3M Q4 savings; full run-rate in Q1 FY26 Ramp to full benefit
Product Mix/Power AccessGrowth in Power Access and latches; keys/locksets mature Mix favorable; demand/mix aided Q4 Positive mix
Macro/NA ProductionMonitoring; customer inventory stable in Q3 FY26 NA production -5% to -6%; launch lull Softer near term
Labor/Mexico Inflation20% mandate cycled; ~12% merit in CY25 Higher labor costs in Mexico weighed; H2 FY26 headwind Ongoing headwind
Balance Sheet/Cash$62.1M cash in Q3; ~$47M availability $84.6M cash; company revolver undrawn; JV borrowings $8.0M Stronger
Digital Key/AftermarketBroadening portfolio and customers Focus on digital key; aftermarket ~7% of revenue; subs largely OEM-held Strategic focus

Management Commentary

  • CEO on transformation and FY25 progress: “We executed over $8 million in new annualized pricing, restructured our operations to take out $5 million in costs and drove significant improvement in our working capital velocity and cash flow focus… While still early in our business transformation, I am encouraged by the progress we have made over the last twelve months.”
  • CFO on margin drivers and tariffs: “Gross margin expanded by 370 basis points to 16.7%... benefit from a stronger U.S. dollar, strategic pricing… and $1.3 million of restructuring savings… more than offset $1.6 million of net tariff expenses… we have line of sight to recover the majority of the cost, but the recovery… will lag the associated expenses.”
  • CFO on FY26 context: “Current third-party industry projections estimate that North American automotive production for our fiscal 2026 will be lower by about 5% to 6%… We believe the business… is capable of achieving gross margins in the 18% to 20% range… and [a] low teen EBITDA margin [long term].”

Q&A Highlights

  • Transformation runway: Management is “still in the early innings,” moving from low-hanging fruit to longer-term structural changes; refocusing engineering capacity toward power access and digital key; considering portfolio reshaping (e.g., de-emphasizing switches) .
  • Margin trajectory: Longer-term EBITDA margin in low-teens, underpinned by price, volume from new launches, and operational improvements; incremental/decremental margins 25%-30% .
  • Cash usage and capital allocation: Holding elevated cash amid production uncertainty and transformation needs; capital returns considered once predictability improves .
  • Digital key and aftermarket: Physical fob remains important; digital key development continues; subscription revenues largely captured by OEMs today; aftermarket ~7% of revenue with opportunity to expand .
  • Working capital and inventory: Primary working capital improved to just over 16% of sales (target 15%); inventory likely needs ~$5M increase to support deliveries .

Estimates Context

  • Q4 FY25 results beat S&P Global consensus across revenue, EPS and EBITDA: Revenue $152.0M vs $143.5M*, EPS (Primary) $2.06 vs $1.07*, EBITDA $13.0M vs $9.53M* (limited coverage: 1 EPS estimate; 1 revenue estimate for Q4)*.
  • Forward snapshot (as context): Q1 FY26 consensus (post quarter) shows revenue $144.9M* and EPS $1.48*; note that consensus breadth is thin (2 revenue, 1 EPS)*. Modeling may need to reflect softer NA production in FY26, pricing tailwind in 1H, labor inflation in H2, and lagging tariff recoveries .

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Beat-and-raise quality print on profitability: broad-based drivers (FX, price, cost actions) overcame tariff and labor headwinds; cash generation and liquidity materially improved .
  • Near-term caution warranted: FY26 production downtick and a lull in launches temper volume; expect mixed quarterly cadence with 1H pricing tailwind and H2 Mexico wage pressure .
  • Structural margin story intact: Long-term 18%-20% GM and low-teens EBITDA are achievable as pricing sticks, new programs ramp, and operations modernize .
  • Tariff overhang manageable: Q4 headwind was $1.6M; recoveries are in process but lag; watch for further commercial recoveries and supply chain reroutes .
  • Capital deployment optionality growing: Net cash rising, revolver undrawn; management to prioritize organic investments and modernization, with potential capital returns once earnings predictability increases .
  • Watchlist: cadence of tariff recoveries, mix toward power access/digital key, inventory normalization (~$5M increase), and working capital progress toward 15% of sales .
  • Trading setup: Continued margin expansion and strong CFOA are positive catalysts; macro softness and labor inflation are primary risks to near-term estimates .